Sunday, October 18, 2020

Statistically speaking...(Didn't know which flair fit best...)


For those out there who think CCW is not a big deal:I was working at a hospital the night a provider was kidnapped and raped. I was in an ambulance down the street from a mass shooting. I have been in an ambulance with a firearms assault victim, no police presence, no unapprehended suspect, parked in an area known for the public to assault first responders and police.I'm sure she wished she had a weapon. Many times, I was worried I would need one.Don't miss the point and confuse emotion for safety. Any one of those situations could have been me. Could have been anyone I worked with. The risks are real. All it takes is one moment, that neither you nor I can foresee, and everything changes.What's the statistical chance of a church shooting in a church in Texas? How many of those that were carrying that day thought they'd be called upon to protect themselves and others? How many of them are glad they were carrying?A weapons assault can happen anywhere, anytime. If most assailants were the type to make rational, reasonable, probability based decisions, they probably wouldn't commit these crimes, and then I could agree with people's position that carrying all the time is not worth the risk of getting fired because your employer said not to carry.Carry smartly, don't print, and don't allow them to search you.Never confused statistics with risk. What's the risk if one of these happens to you? What's the risk if you are not prepared?But if someone does want to go the statistics route, consider the following:BJS reports 7.3 violent victimizations per 1,000 people age 12 and up in 2019, with only an estimated 41% even being reported. 5.4 million, or more violent victims age 12 and up in 2019 alone. This makes for a reported victimization rate of almost 2%. Potentially approaching 6% Between 2 and 6 people out of a hundred. In ONE YEAR ALONE.12.8 million households (not people, entire residences), reported one or more victimizations in 2019. A rate of 108.2 victimizations per 1,000 households. There were an estimated 128.58 million US households in 2019, making for a victimization rate of almost 10%. Again, a reported rate of almost 1 out of 10 homes. IN ONE YEAR ALONE.And 2019 was ~20% drop in victimization over 2018. It's statistically a matter of when, not if, you will be a victim. How many tragic situations could be avoided or altered if more (trained & prepared) people carried in more places?https://ift.tt/37g42yA Typo and removed "white" from church reference because that's irrevalant. via /r/CCW https://ift.tt/3o2Fv66

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